HEADLINE: Election in Canada Is Shorter, but Just as Brutal
BYLINE: By JAMES BROOKE
DATELINE: TORONTO, Nov. 16
Quickly and cheaply, Canada may choose a prime minister
in less time
than it takes the United States to settle an election for president.
With voting to take place Nov. 27, Canada telescopes
the two-year
American campaign into 36 days. On the money side, it shrinks the $3
billion Americans spent on campaigns this season to about $50 million,
roughly what an American presidential candidate spends in two months.
But while Canada's campaign may
be short and cheap, it is not
sweet.
Jean Chretien, who tried to take advantage of his
high approval
ratings by calling a snap election in October after serving just three
and a half
years of his five-year mandate, is seeking to become the first prime
minister since 1945 to win three consecutive majority governments.
At the
start, he took the high road, announcing grandly that "those who throw
mud
lose ground."
But his polling advantage over his main challenger,
Stockwell Day of
the conservative Canadian Alliance, has eroded, to around 20 percent
in
several polls. In one set of polls, by Ipsos Reid, the prime minister's
advantage has narrowed calamitously, from 32 percentage points one
month
ago to 12 points last week.
In the last election, in 1997, Mr. Chretien won only
38.5 percent of
the popular vote, but his Liberal Party won a governing majority of
51.5
percent of seats in Parliament, as opposition votes split among four
other
parties.
Now, Mr. Chretien, a craggy 66-year-old Liberal who
first entered
Parliament in 1963, finds himself in a fight for his political life
with
Mr. Day, a 50-year-old fresh face from Alberta, a booming, low-tax
province where he was treasury minister.
"Our guys are a bit on the knife edge, on the cusp
of a majority or on
the cusp of a minority," Thomas S. Axworthy, a lifelong Liberal, said
here
with the detachment that comes from a part-time job teaching public
policy
at Harvard University.
Seeking to scare Canadians away from the newcomer
from the West, Mr.
Chretien paints his adversary as a red-neck extremist who is masquerading
as a moderate. Charging that Mr. Day, an evangelical Christian, would
put
contentious social issues like abortion and the death penalty before
voters in national referendums, the prime minister has compared his
smooth-talking opponent to a dishonest car salesman, saying: "This
guy has
two agendas. Would you buy a car from a guy who has two sets of books?"
This month, Mr. Chretien attacked Mr. Day's desire
to give more power
to Canada's 10 provinces, saying, "Stockwell Day's proposition is to
destroy Canada." In another speech he implied that the Alliance, a
new
party with 250,000 members, is in ideological league with the "dark
forces" of European fascism.
Mr. Day dismissed the attacks as "desperate responses
of a desperate
man afraid of losing power."
But with the election fast approaching, the Liberals
seem to have
decided that raising fears about Mr. Day is the best way to galvanize
voters who might otherwise stay at home. On Tuesday, Elinor Caplan,
the
immigration minister, who is in a tough re-election fight in a district
north of here, said of the Alliance, "Their supporters are Holocaust
deniers, prominent bigots and racists."
The attacks, which Ms. Caplan endorsed in a television
interview, came
after about 1,000 Jewish voters in her Thornhill district turned out
for a
rally by Mr. Day and the local Alliance candidate, Robert Goldin.
"Thousands and thousands and thousands of Jewish
voters have come over
to the Canadian Alliance," Mr. Goldin, who is Jewish, told The Globe
and
Mail today."She is just trying to recover the Jewish vote that she
lost."
In response, Mr. Day called for increased, but legal,
immigration and
said one quarter of his 300 parliamentary candidates are "visible
minorities," a Canadian term for citizens of non-European origin.
But as the dispute raged, the Canadian Broadcasting
Corporation
broadcast a report charging that Mr. Day, a former lay pastor, holds
creationist beliefs. Mr. Day, who has repeatedly said he would not
impose
his social and religious views on the rest of the nation, declined
to
clarify his beliefs, adding that reporters should not ask Mr. Chretien,
a
Roman Catholic, to explain the Immaculate Conception.
In the media battle for Canada's hearts and minds,
Alliance
strategists say reporters and anchors for CBC, a state company, are
biased against the
Alliance because the tax-cutting party has promised to privatize the
company.
On Tuesday, in the foyer of the CBC building here,
a CBC reporter
asked Mr. Day if he planned to impose on Canada a "two-tier American-style
health system." Rod Love, an Alliance strategist, groaned and muttered,
"There they go again, trying to scare the children about the Americans."
While "American style" is the buzzword used to demonize
Alliance
health proposals in Liberal television ads, the idea of allowing a
private health
care system to coexist alongside a state-run health care system is
actually more British than American. But, in this Commonwealth country,
where Queen Elizabeth is head of state, "British style" generally carries
positive connotations.
With Canada's national health care system emerging
as the fatal third
rail of Canadian politics, Mr. Day raised the white flag in the only
English-language campaign debate, holding before television cameras
a
hand-lettered sign that read, "No two-tier health care."
Despite Canadian defensiveness about many things
American, the
election impasse south of the border is affecting the election here.
Political strategists complain that obsession with
the American
electoral limbo is so great that coverage of the American impasse is
eating up valuable television news time, pushing coverage of the Canadian
election to a secondary plane.